Upside Resolution
The 7-bar pullback off the July 7th high has been a pretty methodical one, despite some wide-ranging bars and overnight gaps. Nonetheless, the pace of the pullback has been well-defined by the upper descending trend line, while the lower descending trend line has marked support.
Monday’s test of the lower trend line resulted in a temporary breach, but the S&P 500 recovered enough to reclaim that level by the closing bell. Not only did that erase a chunk of losses from earlier in the day, but it gave a bit of an exhaustion appearance on the daily chart.
Today we’re seeing widespread strength with a solid thrust back up through the upper trend line. This is marking a multi-day high, at least for now making it an upside resolution to the large bull pennant pattern which had been building.
Going forward, holding this breakout on a closing basis and seeing the bulls follow through on this advance will be key to making it stick. If it does, we’ve got ourselves a higher low on the daily chart, and recent highs could quite easy come into view soon.
Here’s a closer look at the S&P 500 daily chart:
The wide trading ranges are still intact for now, but a continuation of the summer rally which started at the end of June is certainly a bullish technical event. I’m currently long and eyeing more setups.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Rob McCance | Jul 19, 2011 | Reply
Good observation. I knew we were turning this morning when every single stock in ALL my watch lists, including shorts, was green.
I covered all my shorts quickly, except for RIMM, and went long energy.
Did the banks participate today, just got back in, did not check yet.
TheStockBandit | Jul 19, 2011 | Reply
Banks were mixed…BAC & GS down on a DJIA +202 day, so they are still suffering.
Rob McCance | Jul 19, 2011 | Reply
Fo sho.