Author Archive for Jeff White

Triumph Over the Trading Jinx

November 17, 2008 at 1:29 pm

Recently I was chatting with another trader who was pretty down in the mouth. He had suffered a handful of setbacks (read: losing trades), leaving both his confidence and his account at lower levels than previously seen. The harder he tried to recover, the more he became fixated on the recovery. He had forgotten that improvement is a process, and therefore wasn’t focused on making high-quality trades and wise decisions. Instead, he was impatient, irritated and convinced of one thing – he was jinxed.

Although I am not superstitious, I’m definitely familiar with those times when it feels like I’m more wrong than right. When it’s more than just the occasional broken trade and losing money starts to occur too frequently. It’s never fun to endure, but it is something that happens to every last one of us at some point in our trading. It’s simply part of the process as a trader to be wrong sometimes. We slip into a funk, and we want out immediately.

The losing streak is my biggest fear as a trader, so I try to stay on top of things as best I can and adjust quickly when I start to see my performance slip. Here are a few ways in which I attempt to combat those periods.

5 Ways to Overcome Tough Trading Periods:

1. Accept it – they happen! If acceptance is the first step in a popular 12-step program, then it’s fitting to put it first on this list.  Seriously though, having the maturity to recognize that you’re not at your best is actually a sign of confidence – not weakness. A great trader is willing to continually improve, which sometimes means going through a few growing pains even when it doesn’t feel very convenient. Just like the best athletes in the world continually consult video footage of their performances, a great trader reviews what’s taking place in their trading and refuses to ignore those areas which need some attention. Psychologically, our ability to deal with events as they occur is largely due to our willingness to mentally prepare for their possible arrival. It doesn’t mean we think negatively that a losing streak may soon begin, but rather, we decide ahead of time how we’ll respond. Poor stretches of trading will happen, so accepting that is going to put you well ahead of those who simply deny it.

2. When you lose, lose small. As soon as you see that you’re drifting away from being at your best, shore up those positions and cut down your size on any new trades. If you aren’t seeing things clearly, there’s no reason to push it. Recognize even a small string of losses as a warning sign that it’s time to trade smaller, and then do it. And of course, don’t lose the lesson.

3. Balance out your life. Those who live and die by their trading results are in for a long road. There will inevitably be both profitable and pitiful periods, and so the key is not to let your emotions take over. Take the tough times in stride, just as you view the good times with a level head. Build your relationships outside of trading. Pursue some other interests away from the market, and you’ll be glad to have those diversions when you need them. After all, if trading is the only thing you ever do or care about, you’ll find it extremely difficult to ever get away from it – and times will come when you’re going to need a break.

4. Work on it. The best get good and then stay good. That means they never stop working to grow and improve. Seeking out ways to continually improve will give you other methods to turn to when your favorite approach finds friction, allowing you to shift slightly when conditions warrant.

5. Get up. We all fall down from time to time, but it’s how you get up that will really define your abilities. It’s never fun to lose money trading, but just because you take some hits doesn’t mean you need to stay down. Dust yourself off, and get back into the race. You’ll never recover by sitting around sulking and talking about what a ‘jinxed’ trader you are – that accomplishes absolutely nothing. So ditch the pity party and regain your focus. Traders trade, so even when you’re lacking that swagger that you have when at your best, step back into the ring and concentrate once again on finding your groove and booking some small gains. Be selective, but don’t be too shy to pull the trigger. The aim is to get your head right, not post an immediate, giant win. Nothing builds confidence like getting the bat back on the ball, so start small – but do start!

I’ll have a follow-up post to this one coming soon, so be sure to watch for it. In the meantime though, consider the ways in which you need to start making some adjustments in your attitude. Trading offers every one of us a ton of potential, but we’re only going to realize that potential if we approach it properly.

Trade well out there!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]

Market View Video November 16, 2008

November 16, 2008 at 4:59 pm

More recent tests of key support came last week, and thus far they’ve proven successful.  However, with the major averages still lingering near those support zones, it places a lot of importance on the price action we’ll see in the days to come.  There’s no doubt all eyes will be on the bulls this week to see whether or not they will lend support to the averages.

As we’ve seen time and time again in this tape over the past several weeks, no scenario is out of the question.  The day to day volatility continues to run extremely high, offering many opportunities for nimble traders, while simultaneously placing a premium on high levels of cash on an overnight basis.  Needless to say, we’re at another interesting juncture as we face the week ahead!

So before you go placing any trades this week, stop by to check out the Market View page over at the main site for a closer look at the overall market as you start to formulate a trading plan.

(Click image to view video)

Trade well this week!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]

Are Conditions Shifting For Your Timeframe?

November 3, 2008 at 1:17 pm

The recent market volatility has been providing numerous opportunities for day trading if you’re quick on the draw, but it hasn’t offered much for swing trading. Those who prefer a little longer timeframe and trades which last a few days to a few weeks have grown accustomed to finding sloppy daily charts which lack well-defined technical entry and exit levels. Sound bases have been difficult to locate in the past few weeks, to say the least. As a result, either you’ve been forced to shorten your timeframe and day trade more, or you’ve sat on your hands in cash and waited patiently for quieter times to come along.

It’s a fact that risk must be taken in order to profit, but our ability as traders to manage those risks is of utmost importance. Anytime those risks cannot be managed appropriately, it’s not the ideal time to be trading. That certainly describes the recent price action for those who prefer longer timeframes than a couple of hours, but the good news is that it won’t be that way forever. Further, it brings up an important question…

Are Conditions Shifting For Your Timeframe?

Fortunately, it looks like we just might be entering into a quieter time, although getting there won’t be an overnight event. Volatility has been running extremely high, and it’s finally starting to back down. That isn’t to say that uncertainty is disappearing, because this market still has much to deal with (election, earnings, economy, etc.). However, we’re likely to start seeing smaller day-to-day moves in the weeks to come as a result of the declining volatility – if it continues to decline. That will not exclude the occasional jaw-dropping rally or gut-wrenching selloff, but it should make it easier to locate better bases for trade candidates, as well as improve our ability to set prudent stops when protecting the downside.

Day Traders

If you’ve been day trading, I hope it’s been good for you lately. There has been no shortage of intraday opportunities in recent weeks, offering quite a bit for traders who have the ability to move quickly. There will continue to be good conditions for day trading going forward, so don’t turn your back on that approach even as things settle down further – it’s great to be skilled in more ways than 1. Instead, just be sure to adapt accordingly so that you aren’t overtrading or forcing the issue once volatility contracts.

Swing Traders

To those of you who are swing traders and have stood aside in cash as opposed to taking trades with elevated risk, congratulations – you’ve made a great decision. That willingness to step aside when conditions aren’t suitable for your primary trading style has kept you objective while simultaneously preventing losses while you were waiting. You’re now poised to resume your trading without any emotional baggage, unlike those who lacked patience during the past several weeks.

Whatever your trading style, it’s always important to remember that the market is perpetually in motion and conditions are always prone to changing. Stay on your toes and watch for even subtle clues that a shift might be coming – it’s a great habit to be in.

It’s time to get back to doing your homework and working the charts in search of setups. We could start to see some nice opportunities surface soon, and those who are digging diligently for them will have a definite edge in the days ahead once they arrive.

Trade well out there!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]

World Series Series, Part 5 – Avoid the Squeeze Play

October 27, 2008 at 7:05 pm

This is Part 5 of a series, be sure to check out Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 and Part 4 as well. New posts will be made during game days of the World Series.

Losing is Losing, Or Is It?

In baseball, there’s no official clock but there are innings and outs. That makes it simpler to gauge how many opportunities are remaining to make up runs when trailing. You’re either going to win or lose, and in the case of the latter, it doesn’t matter if it’s by one run or eight.

So it’s not surprising that late in the game, the team which is on the verge of losing is apt to taking some extraordinary risks like the squeeze play in an effort to erase the deficit. After all, if it fails, they’ll be no worse off.

However, in trading, it’s a vastly different story.

Stay Patient

Losing small is way different than losing big. Small losses can be made up quickly, forgotten fast, and put in the rearview mirror with even one or two decent winning trades. On the other hand, big losses leave lasting bruises on a trading account. They scar the ego indefinitely, and they’re sure not easy to overcome.

It’s a basic fact that you get paid for taking risks in the market – there’s no denying that. However, that doesn’t mean unnecessary risks should be taken. Whether it’s right after taking a tough loss, at the end of a poor trading day, or the last day of the month, there’s no way to justify trying to be a hero. Attempting to make up the difference with a last-minute save is often the best way to compound the problem, not solve it.

Instead, stay patient. Hit singles for satisfaction. Wait for only the highest-quality opportunities to come along. There will no doubt be many sub-par chances to put money at risk each day, but you’re going to make real progress with your trading by focusing on the best ones. It requires patience to wait for them, which isn’t always fun or glamorous. But winning is fun, and your decision to trade the best setups is going to increase the odds that you’ll be victorious.

The goal is to live to trade another day, week, or month. If your survival as a trader comes down to the outcome of just a single trade, then you’re toast – whether that’s today or some other time. Always play the game with your head on straight, and remember that losing small is far better than losing big.

Trade well out there!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]

World Series Series, Part 4 – Play Shallow When Necessary

October 26, 2008 at 6:00 pm

This is Part 4 of a series, be sure to check out Part 1, Part 2, and Part 3 as well. New posts will be made during game days of the World Series.

Bring it In, Back it Up

Nearly every batter a defense faces will mean repositioning. Outfielders may shift to their left or right, or infielders may come in a little closer or play a little deeper than normal. It all depends on what they know about the guy standing at the plate. Is he explosive with the ability to send outfielders sprinting for the warning track, or is he more prone to hit an infield chopper and ground out?

As traders, we often need to make similar adjustments. It might depend on the general market conditions. Is it a quiet environment, or a volatile one with wide-ranging days? Or it may depend on the individual stock’s personality we’re considering a play in. Is it prone to trending smoothly, or does it tend to gap frequently and make holding overnight positions far more difficult?

Stay Objective

Our ability to properly assess any situation we face will make a huge impact on our ability to trade it successfully. Recognizing the conditions we’re trading in and staying disciplined enough to adjust accordingly will keep us in the game. It’ll minimize our errors, and it’ll maximize our success when we’re at our best.

They key here is to stay objective and honest about what we’re seeing. Having the presence of mind and the maturity to accept whatever that may be means keeping a level head. It means we’ll recognize volatile situations with frequent gaps and know that we need to reduce our trade size and shorten our timeframe to day trading. And if that isn’t our preferred timeframe, then we wait for that which is. At other times it means we don’t attempt to dart in and out quickly as much, instead realizing that smoother trends exist which offer us much more by way of swing trading on a multi-day basis.

So as you come across quality setups in which you’re considering making trades, remember the conditions you’re trading in and blend your style with the market’s action. Shorten or lengthen your timeframe as needed, and you’ll be far better positioned to profit from the moves.

Trade well out there!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]

Market View Video October 26, 2008

October 26, 2008 at 10:30 am

The downside pressure resumed last week as the major averages took hits of 3.5%. However, some hope remains in place for the bulls that support may be in the process of being established in this area – that is, until it gets broken!

Literally anything is possible in this tape right now, and we must be aware of that as traders. There’s no room for predictions in this game, so our focus remains on the charts and it all starts at the top with the indexes.

So before you go placing trades this week, stop by to check out the Market View video over at the main site for a closer look at the overall market as you start to formulate a trading plan.

(Click image to view video)
Trade well this week!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]

World Series Series, Part 3 – Sacrifice Bunt

October 25, 2008 at 8:26 pm

This is Part 3 of a series, be sure to check out Part 1 and Part 2 as well. New posts will be made during game days of the World Series.

Lose Small

With a base runner on and a batter at the plate, one thing we’ve come to expect in baseball is the sacrifice bunt. Rather than risk hitting into a potential double-play situation, a definite option is to force a fielder’s choice with a bunt. Doing this isn’t likely to result in more than one out, and it just might advance a runner and put him into scoring position.

In the trading realm, we’re often faced with the decision of choosing between multiple trades, some of which just aren’t cutting it for us. And it doesn’t have to be multiple trades, it might be multiple trading strategies which need to be reduced. In order to make net progress, we might give up a little bit of potential with one of them in order to focus more on the one which has higher odds of growing our accounts. Eating a small loss in one trade (or strategy) for the sake of managing a better-performing trade (or strategy) is never a bad choice. We’re putting our attention on something that’s actually producing, and that’s the key.

Take One For the Team

Not every at-bat is going to be a glamorous one for the baseball players on TV, so when it’s time for the sacrifice play, it’s important to note that there’s actually some honor for the guy willing to lay one down for the better good of the team. Accepting a short-term setback in return for the longer-term health of the team (or your trading account) is wise. It keeps the ego out of the equation, which is great because we want to be in the habit of making good decisions.

So the next time you’re faced with a choice between a trade you’re hoping will work vs. a trade you already have working, be willing to cut the unproven trade first, and trust that losing small now will mean winning big later. Your career just might depend on your adopting that mentality.

Trade well out there!

Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com

[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]