All Entries in the "Chart Reviews" Category
Trading Scene Still Great
December 8, 2010 at 12:30 pm
On Nov 1, I mentioned the scene was set to improve, and since then we’ve seen exactly that. I didn’t base that post on the notion of higher prices necessarily, because UP does not equal GOOD – just as DOWN does not equal BAD.
I’m a trader, so for me it’s all about the movement. It’s volatility that makes for a great trading environment, especially when the technicals are playing such a prominent role. We’ve seen a pick up in volatility of late, which simply delivers faster moves for us as traders.
Lately, we’ve seen exactly that. Individual stocks and the indexes alike have respected trend lines and important resistance and support levels, allowing for some excellent trading opportunities for the astute trader to capitalize on.
Taking it to the Charts
For example, the indexes have been textbook in their respect of key levels. The S&P 500 has been range-bound between 1173 support (with numerous tests of that level in recent weeks) and 1227 resistance (tagged a few times but no close above it yet). That’s perpetuating the short-term trading range, which could easily serve as a stepping stone for another advance if it’s resolved to the upside.
The DJIA also has been highly respectful of key levels. The mid-May post-flash-crash bounce carried the senior index up to the 10920 area, and since then that level has been revisited. Currently it’s serving as support over the past few weeks, while the early-November high at 11451 was tested and held on Tuesday.
Individual stocks have also made exceptional moves through important trend lines as well as out of well-defined patterns. Here’s a look at a few examples:
So the general trading scene continues to improve, which means there’ll likely be ample opportunity in the weeks ahead to capitalize on. But the market won’t give you money – you’ve got to know where to find it and how to extract it. If you’re preparing daily with several if/then scenarios, and you’re managing your risk appropriately, you’re positioning yourself for continued success.
Trade Like A Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
Reminder: Webinar Tonight!
December 7, 2010 at 2:07 pm
Here’s a quick reminder about tonight’s free trading webinar, as I would love to see you there if possible.
Update: here’s a link to the webinar recording – enjoy!
Weighing Risk & Reward with TheStockBandit
I’m excited to run through a number of interesting chart setups, from both the bullish and bearish sides, in order to teach you some concepts and of course put some quality plays on your radar.
I also plan to share with you the most powerful pattern I’ve been trading in recent weeks.
The webinar is scheduled to run 45 minutes, with 15 of those minutes set aside at the end for Q&A and a look at your favorite charts.
Visit this link for registration to the 8pm ET webinar:
Weighing Risk & Reward with TheStockBandit
See you tonight!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
Webinar Tuesday December 7
December 6, 2010 at 10:38 pm
I wanted to be sure to post a quick announcement here that I’ll be presenting a Free Webinar on Tuesday (December 7th) with the folks from Worden, and I hope you can join us!
Update: here’s a link to the webinar recording – enjoy!
Weighing Risk and Reward with TheStockBandit
It’s scheduled to be a 45 minute webinar, the first 30 minutes of which I’ll be going through my watch lists, pointing out to you what I’m seeing in the charts for both the overall market and individual stocks.
There will be 15 minutes of Q&A time at the end where you might want to bring forth your favorite stock and we can take a look at those too.
I certainly do not have all the answers, but it’s going to be a chance for me to convey what I’m seeing out there and hopefully not only teach you a few things, but also put many stocks on your radar which you may find of interest.
Oh, and the best part about it is that this event will be FREE, so be sure to register at this link for details (and access to the recorded version if you can’t attend live):
Chart Reading with TheStockBandit
Remember, free webinar this Tuesday night, 45 minutes of charting reading with you and me – I can’t wait!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
Something Special in GSM
October 29, 2010 at 11:38 am
Globe Specialty Metals has shown some special characteristics in the past 2 months (pardon the pun), and it may not be done yet.
Yahoo! Finance is showing an earnings reporting date of November 8, and that event could certainly prove meaningful – one way or the other. However, as a technical trader, I’m only interested in avoiding the stock on that date given the impact which such major fundamental news can have on a stock. This may not be a long-haul type of stock anyway, but with the price action of the past several weeks it deserves to be on the radar for a possible trade.
Watching for Movement
GSM is acting quite well from a technical standpoint. First, the stock has rallied big over the past two months, adding more than 50% to its value during that stretch. Second, and perhaps more importantly, it has put in some well-deserved and needed rest over the past two weeks, pulling back quietly and churning to digest its recent run.
That dip has allowed weak holders to dump shares while others have stepped in with bids to offer support. Shallow pullbacks and coiling price action also prevents the stock from becoming too extended to the upside. Momentum is good until it gets out of hand, at which point pullbacks tend to become all-out reversals. Healthy trends need rest, and this one is doing just that.
I’m looking at this one for a trade on the long side if it’s able to break out through the trend line at $15.50, and would expect a quick push up to new highs. I’ll of course look to be out of it ahead of the earnings report, as holding anything into such news is merely a gamble. On a technical basis, support has been found in the $14.50 area, and we could see momentum return if the trend line gets cleared.
Here’s a closer look at the chart of GSM for you:
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
Leadership Has Left the Building
October 6, 2010 at 8:08 pm
I’m not the first one to recognize a big shift in leadership stocks of late, as it seems the momentum train has hit a southbound fork – hard – for several of them.
Stocks which had been running relentlessly higher have turned suddenly. What used to be a buy-on-any-dip mentality associated with them has is now more like sell-all-bounces.
If these truly are ‘leaders,’ then they may be leading to the downside. I’m certainly not one to call for a market peak, as I know momentum can stay present far longer than many expect. However, I will say some other leadership best emerge quickly if the indexes (which are subsequently at big resistance areas) are to continue their relentless pursuit of higher levels.
Let me suggest going full-screen for best quality in the video.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
One Intraday Setup That’s Working
September 28, 2010 at 9:38 am
In a world dominated by algo’s and machines, the astute trader can still turn a profit. It’s true, despite what many losing traders might tell you.
It takes adaptation, some ingenuity, imagination, and of course, thinking outside the box. For the creative trader though, new patterns will emerge from which profitable trades can be made.
So today, I wanted to point out to you one such example. I won’t name the stock, because it doesn’t matter, but here’s the chart from the opening 50 minutes or so:
As you can see, this stock gapped higher, ran a little more initially, and then began to roll over. The selling intensified as new lows were made on the session, and the gap began to fill before a brief period of rest set in. But that wasn’t the end of the story. Conventional day trading wisdom says this gap keeps getting filled, but only if another new low is made with a break of that intraday support.
Lately I’ve noticed this kind of setup – and you can reverse it with a downside gap if you’d like – offering some good plays. I had one finger on the trigger to short sell this one upon a break of that support, but it held just above the whole number. As the stock started to catch a bid, I went long with a very tight stop – only $0.06 from my long entry. And only 10 minutes later I was flipping out my shares for a quick $0.50 winner.
** For those wondering, that’s a reward-to-risk ratio of better than 8:1.
This setup offers two things I really like…
First, it offers very minimal, defined risk. If support (or resistance in the case of a morning gap down) gives way, I’m out quick for a small loss.
Second, it offers a great pivot area where emotion is building. The battle that took place at support was really something, and once one side began to win out (in this case the buyers), it sparked a quick move away from that level.
So, keep an eye out for this setup – it’s been a great one to trade. Gaps which only partially fill before hesitating at a level just might offer you a quick, profitable reversal play like this one.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
Eyeing GDP for a Breakout
September 27, 2010 at 8:04 am
There’s no shortage of bullish charts out there right now, but not all of them are in position for new buys.
One name I’m watching right now, GDP, is in pretty good technical shape here and looks like it may be gearing up for a move soon. It’s nowhere near short-term extended like so many other stocks at the moment, and in fact is knocking on the door of a breakout from a multi-month trading range.
The Plan
With GDP threatening resistance right here, it’s on my radar for a play.
I’m looking to buy this one if it’s able to break out through the $14.10 level, and would expect a quick push up to the $15.20 area. That level has proven to be both support and resistance in the past, which makes it a logical spot for a rest if the next move carries that far.
Here’s a closer look at the chart of GDP for you:
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
