Search Results for 'traders'
Consider Risk First, Then Reward
Anytime I am eyeing a trade to make, the first thing I consider is what is my risk in case I’m stopped out. Theoretically I might not be able to foresee all that could happen to a stock, but barring a major news event or gap in the stock, I want to first determine at which point I’ll need to exit the position. Only after this step do I take a look at the positive potential for the trade and then move towards a decision for an entry.
A major difference between amateur traders and professionals is the fact that amateurs consider the potential reward first and then may look at their risk, while professionals consider their risk first and then look at the potential reward. This is a big deal!
Keep Your Head On Straight
The market carries a lot of allure and it can entice you into making larger or bolder trades when all you look at is the reward side if it pans out. However, surviving the trading game and sticking around long enough to make a living at it will require that your risk be quantified before anything else. Even with those home-run types of plays you might feel very strongly about, you still need to determine at which point you’ll bail out of the trade and cut your loss in the event that you’re wrong.
Consider the earnings play by the amateur trader trying to make a quick, easy buck on a favorable gap from the announcement. This play is attempted all the time, but the truth of the matter is that while the odds are high that a gap will come, the direction and size of it simply cannot be determined. This leaves the trader hoping to hit it big but very uncertain as to their exit plan if the stock moves against them.
Trading Like A Pro
Professional traders operate in a completely different manner. What appears to be a good trading opportunity is examined before the entry is made. This closer look may not take a long time, but it will reveal to the professional key information that will make up his mind on whether or not to take the trade. Determining an adverse exit level will allow him to define his risk, size his position accordingly, and then decide if a favorable move will pay him a multiple amount of what he’s putting at risk.
This principle is at the heart of profitable trading, because we are going to have our losing trades, sometimes frequently. Ensuring that those losses are contained will make them very easy to overcome with winners that we will find, but a methodical approach which begins with a look at the risk is where it all begins.
Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com
[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]
A Head-Shaker’s Market
This column was originally published today at 11:09am EST on my Market Commentary thread of the trading forum over at TheStockBandit.com. It’s being republished here as a bonus for TheStockBandit.net readers.
The bulls are putting together another nice rebound this morning with much of yesterday’s downside being erased with today’s buying. This has quickly become the typical day-to-day routine for the market, as it sells off in apparent desperation one day, only to bounce big the following day. We have seen this happen now for 4 straight sessions and at other times this month, which is making active traders dizzy and causing those of us with high cash levels to simply shake our heads at the indecision out there.
While this price action is out of the ordinary and difficult to trade, it is what it is and we have to deal with it. As traders, we cannot control what the market does, but we can always control how we respond to it. In a very tricky environment like what we’re in, the best plan is to either become very short-term with trades, flipping them for quick gains and keeping losses very small, or we get very selective and limit our activity altogether.
I’m sticking with the latter, but am really looking forward to the time when things smooth out a little bit and offer us some better opportunities for swing trades, as that is my preferred timeframe. It will get here eventually, but this market is running high on emotion right now and both bulls and bears have been quick to press their bets only to throw in the towel on the following day.
Stay patient out there, if there’s anything worse than an indecisive and reversal-prone market, it’s overtrading it and losing money! Hang onto that trading capital of yours and once the clouds break up we’ll be in a far better position to grow it. Right now it’s all about capital preservation.
Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com
[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]
Welcome TraderInterview Readers!
Just wanted to say thanks for stopping by to those of you who heard my interview at TraderInterviews.com this week. I thoroughly enjoyed the visit with Tim Bourquin as he runs an excellent site and knows a lot about the trading industry. I also hope that you found something useful from hearing about my approach to the market during my interview.
Those of you who haven’t visited TraderInterviews.com should check it out, there’s lots of great info provided by quite a few traders of varying styles and timeframes. Needless to say, I am honored and humbled to have been invited to participate!
While you’re here, I should point you to a post I put up last week when I welcomed Barron’s readers. That post outlines some key posts here at the blog and explains a bit about what I do and my trading style. It’s a great way to get an overview of how I operate. I’m glad you’re here and hope you’ll return frequently in the future.
Happy Thanksgiving to all, and I will be back next week with some new posts to share here. See you then!
Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com
[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]
What It Means To Wait On The Market
One comment I make frequently over on the main site is to “wait for the market” to produce good trading setups. Those of you who read me over there understand what I mean, but the rest of you have no doubt heard the phrase. I thought it might be helpful to explain just what it means and give some examples of how it’s done, particularly because it is so important in this wild market environment.
A good trade is usually a planned trade. For me, that means scouring the charts in search of patterns which I’ve found to be repeated over time. They also give me a black & white entry and exit as they confirm or fail their patterns. My style is such that I won’t trade unless and until I see these patterns emerge. Oh sure, I’ve forced plenty of trades from the usual boredom trade to the revenge trade, but those kind rarely pay me. The ones which pay the bills are the ones which come along and really stand out from the charts, the ones which I can’t pass up.
Waiting on the market means that you don’t go hunting excessively to find a good trade. It means you do your homework and take what the market gives. I’ve found that when I have to dig and dig to find a trade that it’s usually not worth taking. The best trading periods offer up plenty of opportunities for entries and new trading ideas, so when you’re not seeing what you like don’t force it.
The current trading environment is a sloppy one, so I’m having to put this theory into practice daily right now. After a prolonged uptrend, the market entered a corrective phase a few weeks ago and volatility is running extremely high all of a sudden. Emotions are swinging back and forth as traders take profits and fund managers worry about getting left behind every time a bounce begins. This means that the daily charts which typically offer a steady flow of multi-day trade candidates are now just not offering much without drastically increased risk.
As a result, I’ve been doing more day trading than swing trading, reducing my trading timeframe so that I can keep my risk in check. Even planned trades which have abbreviated timeframes (like day trades) are requiring extra patience right now, because the frequent reversals and morning price gaps which have been so common in recent weeks are preventing many of them from triggering entries. So rather than lower my standards purely for the sake of activity and put on lower-quality trades, I wait!
If you’re new to the game, be aware that trading shouldn’t be full of excitement and thrills every moment of the day. It’s easy to want to be actively trading at all times, but sacrificing your objectivity for the sake of entertainment will mean a quick exit from the game. There are times which will be downright boring as you wait for your pitch to come along before you swing the bat. Your ability to accept this fact will put you miles ahead on the learning curve, and you’ll pay far less tuition while learning the ropes.
Patience is probably the most underrated attribute of the successful trader, but it’s the one most-often exercised by those of us who make our living in the market. So whether you’re letting a good trade develop or simply looking for your next play, wait on the market to provide the conditions you’re seeking and you’ll eventually be glad you did.
Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com
[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]
Safety Nets for Trading
All of us could use a safety net from time to time, and fortunately every single one of us has access to one! It’s called the stop loss, and it’s an invaluable part of any trading strategy.
Regardless of trading style, we all know that there will be occasions when we’ll be wrong and lose money. Knowing that if we play the trading game it’s unavoidable, the next best thing to do then is to limit those losses the best way we know how and protect the downside. That may involve setting an initial stop loss level on a new trade, or it may involve tightening up stops on existing trades, but either way it’s important to have these safety nets in place.
Last week’s steep selloff caught many by surprise, bringing untold levels of pain to those who failed to employ a stop loss order. It’s an excellent reminder that truly anything is possible in the market at any time.
But you’re different, right?
Think of it this way…. an experienced driver still wears his seatbelt, a great climber still uses a safety harness, and any trader worth his salt will employ the stop loss as a safety net. Doing so will prevent the kind of long-term damage that hope can do to a trading account when positioned on the wrong side of the market.
Setting stops appropriately is an art which requires constant monitoring and modification. Even if you’re not a very experienced trader and may not even know the proper areas to place your stops, do not forget that having some kind of stop in place is better than nothing at all. Don’t walk the high wire without some protection! Your trading capital is your lifeblood as a trader, and it deserves your protection. Play great defense and you’ll have plenty of opportunities to put your offense to work!
The idea is to keep moving forward.
Last Thursday and Friday I was stopped out of 2 positions, one for a gain and one for a loss. However, obeying those stops saved me from further losses which I’d be sitting on had I merely ignored them or hoped for a recovery. That prevented further pain, and although taking those stops was no fun at the time, I was still very glad to have done so by the end of the week. After all, I’d rather be sent to the sidelines with a few paper cuts than be carted off the field on a stretcher with a broken leg (or worse). Don’t become a stuckholder – babysitting underperforming positions is no fun!
There will be plenty of times when we’ll be wrong as traders, so accept that fact as part of the game. As soon as you can do that, you’ll ensure your longevity as a trader, and vastly improve your odds of great success.
Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com
[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]
Remember Your Trading Objective
Emotions sure are running high right now! We’ve seen tremendous moves take place in a very short amount of time, and it may not be over yet. Momentum leaders like GOOG, AAPL, RIMM, and BIDU, which were only days ago running to new highs have since fallen out of bed, getting hammered with profit-taking. The directional change has been fast and fierce, and it has opened the doors of opportunity for nimble traders.
But nimble traders aren’t the ones suffering. The part-time traders are. Obviously any bull lately has suffered some pain, but that’s not what I’m referring to. I’m talking about the traders who aren’t quick on the keys, the ones who are just trying their hand at some dip buying. They don’t realize the sheer panic of so many other market participants which they’re buying in the face of. They don’t realize that even on a bounce bulls can become sellers. There’s a lot of supply just waiting for a chance to get liquidated once some relief comes along and higher prices are seen, and that’s precisely what can bring the pain to the uneducated part-timer.
There’s a huge urge for traders to catch market turning points, probably because so many traders fail to check their ego at the door. That desire can cause a trader to step out of their usual routine and attempt to catch a falling knife like this market or call a top when things get stretched to the upside. Rarely does it pay off. Usually it costs some money and objectivity, and what mojo you had before will quickly disappear.
This is an incredibly volatile market right now, and it’s no time to be trying new aggressive strategies (such as trying to buy the low). Your trading objective is to stay patient and wait for the conditions to arrive which suit your trading style. If you don’t see those conditions, then don’t play. Wait patiently and spend your time tending to other matters. Because the truth is, eventually this phase will end and a new one will begin which may be far more suitable to your trading style. Being willing to sit out volatile times like this will preserve capital and allow you to resume profitability once your ideal conditions surface again.
Shun the urge you may have right now to add new trading styles to your arsenal. Stay focused on what you know, and if you don’t see it then be willing to wait.
Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com
[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]
Overcoming Trading Disasters
Running a subscription-based stock pick service, I have the opportunity to interact with quite a few traders on a regular basis. In a group of that size there are diverse styles, varying risk tolerances and numerous trading timeframe preferences. However, every style offers the opportunity for the occasional blow-up to occur.
I get contacted by traders on a somewhat regular basis wanting some help getting back on their feet after a trading disaster. Sometimes these blow-ups are self-infliicted (overtrading, breaking rules, throwing discipline out the window, etc.), while others are market-inflicted (news gaps, downgrades, corporate investigations, etc.). Both kinds are hurtful to a trader’s account and psyche, but the road to recovery is similar for both situations…if they’re willing to walk it.
I can certainly sympathize, as I have definitely been there. Blown stops, overtrading, revenge-trading, throwing rules out the window…all of it can add up to a big nasty down day that was never intended or expected. I’ve felt the shock, disgust, frustration, and pure disbelief of days like that, and it is absolutely zero fun. If you’ve recently suffered a big trading setback, I won’t kick you while you’re down, but I’ll be honest here and tell you what I think you ought to hear.
Paying Market Tuition
We all have our “refresher courses” in market education, so since we’ve paid a high tuition we certainly don’t want to lose the lesson. As long as these occasional disasters don’t knock us out of the game, they can actually make us better traders if we’ll allow it. They really ingrain in us the things we ought to be doing. The wounds from such events take time to heal from and they do leave a mark, but that serves as a reminder to stick with what we know works and get back on the right track. Until a full recovery is made, looking at your account equity reminds you of how it happened. It will motivate you like nothing else to avoid letting it happen again. There is some value in that, even if we overpaid for it.
Don’t make a bad day worse. Whether you get kicked in the teeth by a morning gap against your overnight position or you’ve simply hit your daily limit on losses, it can be a very tall order to make it back quickly. Many a trader can relate stories of attempting a comeback from a trade gone bad only to dig deeper into their hole, ultimately finding themselves down farther than they were when their bad day began. Chalking up the loss and staying picky so as not to add insult to injury can prevent more pain and sometimes let you chip away at it. If you venture into the market beyond your “uncle” point, be selective and keep your risk to a minimum.
Honor thy stop. Many active traders have gotten to the point where they trust their ability to exit when the time comes, but there simply is no substitute for having a hard stop in place. Knowing the key levels at which you need to close out a bad trade is one thing, but pulling that trigger and abandoning hope of a rebound is something entirely different. Ugly days have a tendency to tug at our need to be right, but remember that the market is always right. Limit the damage you will suffer from losing trades, and keep yourself in the game so that you can recover from losing trades without needing a miracle.
Return to what works. After a blow-up, aim to hit singles and restore your confidence in such a way that it can be built upon. Reflecting on stretches of consistent profitability will serve as a reminder of what has worked, and that’s usually the ideal place to begin. Get back to hitting singles and work your way back up. You can do it and it will take time, but if you can establish some consistency now, it will pay even bigger in the future.
Avoid Temptation
After a trading disaster strikes, the urge is usually to try to make it back in one play, returning quickly to previous account levels. You can easily double your pain if you fall for it, but those who succumb to that urge may never ever recover. I’ve seen plenty of traders take that route, and before they know it they’ve let one bad day send them into a downward spiral, never to return. Additionally, finding temporary success by swinging for the fence right after a big loss will only reinforce the very bad habits which you need to shun. Avoid it if you can. You might recover this time, but eventually that approach will seal your fate – and not in a good way!
Instead, return to a methodical way of trading where you’re looking for a day’s pay. Give your account time to recover before you start looking for the bigger swings again. The trader who suffers a big hit is rarely thinking clearly, and he needs to get back on track before considering any aggressive plays. That can take a while, so accept that fact if you really want to be good at this.
Another thing to consider is just taking a break from the market. Take a week off, and the market will be here when you get back. What you don’t want to happen is that you look back on is this moment and know that you put yourself at a crossroads in your trading career when you didn’t have to. Don’t let a frustrating day get the best of you so that 6 months from now you look back and know that dealing with it poorly ultimately sent you packing. Let your emotions come down and cool your jets. That way you will return with a clear head and a defined approach you want to take going forward.
Soaking it In
We all have a tendency to want to forget bad experiences, but that isn’t the best way to deal with a trading blowout. Spending some time reflecting on the events can be a healthy step in the healing and recovery process. Re-live those emotions and let that bad taste sink in so that you don’t do it again. Many trading blow-ups come as the result of a lack of willpower, but growing passionately dissatisfied with the loss of control will certainly help to avoid a repeat offense.
Find every possible way to build consistency and eliminate risk on each trade, every week, month after month. It won’t always be roses, but it certainly will eliminate the blow-up factor. Coming up with a defined plan for every trade ahead of time will force you to add structure. Blow-up days distinctly lack structure, and when we have them we put on trades on a whim, spontaneously throwing money at the market wall and hoping something will stick. Long-term trading success isn’t built on that – it’s built on consistency.
If excitement is what a trader is seeking, then the market certainly offers it. But if an escape from a monotonous job and the hope of making a living from the market is the aim, then trading blow-ups absolutely must be avoided. Put a cap on your daily max loss. Put a limit on how many trades you’ll let yourself place – if you only had 3 to make every day for the next week, you’d certainly make them count I bet. Rein in the horsepower and get a bat on the ball for a little while. The money can come later after you find your groove again, but don’t let one trading disaster trigger a much larger slide.
Finally, wouldn’t it be satisfying if you were able to designate a point in the future, weeks or months away when you would have fully recovered and climbed back from such an awful experience? Wouldn’t that be a huge source of confidence for you going forward as a trader? I know it would.
Resolve to climb back, be methodical, and stay patient. You can do this!
Jeff White
President, The Stock Bandit, Inc.
Swing Trading & Day Trading Service
www.TheStockBandit.com
[tags]Stock Market, Day Trading, Stock Trading, Investing, Swing Trading[/tags]
