All Entries Tagged With: "chart patterns"
I See You PCU
January 11, 2010 at 7:26 am
Strength in this market has been relentless, and that means many individual names are riding the wave. It can be difficult to work through robust watch lists in search of great plays, but often times it boils down to identifying the most valid levels, knowing if they’re violated that opportunity will emerge.
Last week, PCU “got on its horse” for several days and made a nice move right to upper resistance – a well-defined level it has flirted with several times in recent months. It’s now threatening a breakout, but will need to punch through the $36.50 level in order to pull it off. If it does, this one is on my radar for a play.
Here’s a closer look for you:
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
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Nothing Wrong WIT This One
January 5, 2010 at 7:55 am
Solid technical setups often times will have more than one positive thing going for them. It may simply be having the market’s wind at its back, or it may be more like the stock I’m going to show you today. WIT has made a monster run since the March lows of 2009, tacking on about 350% since then. And while that’s a really impressive advance, the fact is that the stock is still trending higher – and may be poised for more.
Not only does this one have the long-term uptrend and higher lows/highs in place after that move, but even just over the past few weeks WIT has exhibited some great qualities. It popped big in mid-December on a surge in volume to make new highs, and since then it has put in some needed rest. We also see on the chart below a pair of white arrows highlighting short-term higher lows as the stock sits just shy of resistance.
On Monday, WIT turned higher on a pickup in volume, indicating we may soon see those highs get challenged at the $23 level. If so, this is one I’m definitely interested in, so it’s on my radar for a play.
Here’s a closer look for you:
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
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LUV Still Adored
January 4, 2010 at 6:48 am
There’s a common desire among traders to “buy the dip” when given a chance, and I’m here today to show you one such opportunity. The idea of picking up stocks on even a minor discount within the context of a proven trend is indeed a good one – so let’s take a look at one chart of interest.
LUV, like many other airline stocks, has enjoyed quite a run over the past several weeks. The day to day action has been consistent, and although it hasn’t seen many huge individual days, the net result is an impressive 39% run over just the past 2 months. It may not be done either.
Even in the wake of the Christmas Day “underwear bomber” attempt (does that title ‘crack’ up anyone else the way it does me?), the stock saw only a very shallow decline before posting another gain to finish out the year.
The result of the dip has merely been some quiet consolidation on light volume, which has also created a small descending trend line just above current prices. A push north of that trend line at $11.60 could mean yet another takeoff for the stock (pardon the pun), so it’s on my radar for a play.
Here’s a closer look for you:
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
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Eyeing Range Expansion in ACL
December 16, 2009 at 7:53 am
The ascending triangle pattern is commonly found within uptrending stocks, so in a bull market like we’ve been in since March, you can spot quite a few of them.
But just because it’s a bullish setup doesn’t mean the pattern will always pan out that way. In fact, I recently discussed pattern failures and the opportunities they can also deliver, so it pays to always stay on your toes.
I’ve been eyeing the chart of ACL in recent days with its ascending triangle pattern, and given the narrowness of the consolidation, this one looks like it’ll be resolved very soon.
Given that the trend is up, I’m on the lookout for continuation with a push through $164.50 as the next breakout level. However, this year I’ve seen a number of ascending triangle failures which offered some excellent signals, so it’s worth noting that if the lower (yellow) rising trend line gets broken at $162, it would be a short sell signal. Either way, this one looks ready for a decent move, so it’s on my radar for a trade.
Here’s a closer look for you:
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
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Pattern Failures Are Worth Noting
December 8, 2009 at 2:44 pm
While the bulk of my trading revolves around chart patterns, and most notably the confirmation of them, failed patterns are certainly worth identifying.
Anytime a stock appears to be gearing up to make a move in one direction and suddenly goes the opposite direction, you can bet there are plenty of participants who are poorly positioned. Such is the case when patterns fail.
Obviously, the original plan goes out the window when a chart pattern fails, but that doesn’t mean you should turn your back on the stock. In fact, watching for plays to emerge in the new direction can often prove fruitful.
I just ran across an example that I wanted to point out to you. AXP had created a continuation pattern with a high channel following an uptrend, but price fell out of that channel last week to the downside. Now the stock is setting up for a possible secondary move downward, and it’s on my radar after seeing this chart today.
Here’s a look at it:
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
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4 Cup & Handle Patterns to Watch
November 17, 2009 at 3:02 pm
One of the most easily identifiable chart patterns is also one of the rarest – the cup and handle pattern. In this post, I want to show you a few which are developing right now.
The cup and handle pattern is sometimes misinterpreted, so let’s just review the basics…
First, this pattern must be found within the context of an uptrend. This is an upside continuation pattern, so the existing uptrend is a necessity.
Second, the height of the cup is important to note. This is the depth or distance from upper resistance to the low end of the cup, and it’s added to the breakout zone in order to determine a price target.
Third, a rounded cup is ideal. This suggests there were no sudden or sharp changes of direction, but merely a mild pullback and gradual recovery.
Finally, the handle portion will resemble a narrow channel, sometimes tilted downward, and may occur on light volume. This is the coiling action which will precede the breakout, and it gives the pattern not only recognition but also validity.
I just ran across a handful of examples that I wanted to point out to you. These are currently building their handles and may need more time to mature. The key is that this pattern is only confirmed upon a breakout, so that’s what I’ll be waiting for.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
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CVX Bull Flag Offers Potential
November 10, 2009 at 9:44 am
My nightly routine includes locating setups for tomorrow’s trading session, but I don’t want to stop there. Taking it one step further, I want to be aware of any other stocks which may be gearing up for moves in the days ahead – radar stocks, if you will.
One setup that’s been on my radar for the past few days is CVX. The stock has trended steadily higher from the July low, and more sharply from the October low. Since then, it has settled into a very well-defined trading range over the past 3 1/2 weeks. The rally-and-base combination has built a very clean bull flag pattern, which offers not only a technical entry on a breakout but also an exit if that pattern should happen to fail.
I have no position here yet, but if this one clears $78.50 to break out from the bull flag, I’ll get real interested real fast.
A measured move could take this one on up to the $88-89 area, which would coincide with a resistance zone from August and September of 2008.
Here’s a closer look:
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Are you following me on Twitter yet?
