All Entries Tagged With: "Swing Trading"
A Look Through the Goal Posts
January 1, 2012 at 3:31 pm
It’s that time again…time to reflect on the previous year, see what you can learn from it, and then determine how to apply it in the year ahead.
I’ve talked quite a bit about goals here, so rather than reinvent the wheel, I’m going to review goals posts from the past. Get your clicker ready and hit the links at will!
Trading shouldn’t be everything, so have some off-the-screen goals to go alongside your account-related objectives.
If you go about it the wrong way, goals can actually impede progress, but done correctly they can provide big incentive and some satisfaction.
Your dedication and preparation in the year ahead can deliver impressive results, but keep in mind that making big progress in trading requires patience. It’s a process, so it’s all about making good trades and trusting that the results you want will be there.
Stay in the game and believe that the opportunities will be there if you’re around to identify them. You’ll need to take these 5 steps to reach your goals, but a year from now just imagine the difference it could mean to your trading.
Know where you’ve come from, yes, but also where you’re going. So say what you will about goals, but I think they are a must.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
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Always Look to the Left
December 28, 2011 at 2:46 pm
A friend of mine recently mentioned that the area to the right of price is the only place on a chart where you make money. He’s absolutely right. But I’d add that by also looking to the left, you can save money as well.
Take for instance CXO. Right now the stock is sitting in a short-term bearish formation. The stock recently declined for a couple of weeks, then has attempted to bounce – without success. That has created a small rising channel, or bear flag, which is quite likely to be resolved to the downside when taken at face value.
So am I going aggressively short here? No, and here’s why:
Short-term, this looks like it wants lower. But by looking to the left, I see more than just the selloff and feeble bounce attempt. I see that just about $3 lower is a major level which has served as both support and resistance in recent months. That could again provide buyers with a spot to take a stand, and it poses a threat to this setup as a bearish play – a roadblock for the trade.
Here’s a closer look at the chart:
Always take the short-term pattern you’re seeing in context. With that in mind, this bear flag isn’t a high-probability trade given support isn’t far below. Furthermore, the overall trend in recent months hasn’t changed, as this is really just a range-bound stock heading back toward key support. It might not hold, but trading is about probabilities, and they aren’t real favorable in this case for a move of more than about 3%.
In other words, always look to the left.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Follow TheStockBandit on Twitter or get our free newsletter to keep up!
Hoping to See You in 2012
December 16, 2011 at 9:07 am
This past weekend I had the pleasure of doing some live training in conjunction with Worden, and I thoroughly enjoyed it. Getting to teach a couple hundred traders in a seminar setting was a treat (I’m standing in the front of the room in this pic), and it was fun to cover a lot of ground on all things trading.
We discussed key principles of trade selection, a trader’s mindset, and how to prepare like a professional on a regular basis. Then we built a watch list together with attendees offering up their favorite tickers, spouting them off popcorn-style as I added them to the list. From there, we just analyzed the price action to see what the charts were telling us. When you listen, the charts tend to have a lot to say!
Anyway, I’m slated to teach and/or speak live in several more cities in 2012, and I hope to see you at some point. Houston in Feb, NYC Trader’s Expo in Feb, Atlanta in March, and Denver in June are currently on the calendar. Make plans to attend one of these cities and I will do my best to make it worth your while.
To those who were in Dallas last weekend, I hope you enjoyed it as much as I did!
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Follow TheStockBandit on Twitter or get our free newsletter to keep up!
People of Wal-Mart: Still Spendin’
December 15, 2011 at 9:17 pm
While the People of Wal-Mart website is always an entertaining bookmark, the stock itself is no joke. Sporting nearly a 20% return since its August low, this slow mover has outpaced the S&P’s return by about 2 1/2 times.
Checking out the recent price action, the stock is a bit range-bound, but a closer examination reveals an often misunderstood pattern: the cup & handle pattern. The look of the pattern is easily identifiable to even novice chart readers, but they usually fail to take it in context. Here, it’s right where it should be found – within an uptrend.
Here’s a closer look at the chart:
A confirmation of this pattern with an upside exit would put this one in the mid-60’s in short order, so it’s worth keeping on the radar even though it’s far from a momentum name. If anything, this is simply an example worth pointing out. The handle may need a bit more work and it needs to threaten the upper trend line to indicate a move is imminent, but it belongs on the radar no less.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Follow TheStockBandit on Twitter or get our free newsletter to keep up!
Getting Over the Consistency Hump in Trading
December 15, 2011 at 9:03 am
I heard from a trader over the weekend who has gone through a number of changes in recent months, both personally and in their trading. The result was a big lack of consistency in their trading.
This particular trader has endured a stretch of personal changes, including relationship stress, family changes, financial pressures tied to it, and a move. That’s a lot to take!
In terms of their trading, they went from being a retail trader to a prop trader and found some distinct, challenging differences which impacted their results (and trading process) adversely. It wasn’t that prop vs. retail was the issue, but rather this particular trader’s surprise and perhaps their lack of understanding of what those differences would be from the front end.
For example, this particular trader did not realize they would not be allowed to hold overnights at their firm. They got caught up in the ECN rebate game and started focusing on minimizing transaction costs rather than getting into and out of trades in a timely fashion. And there were several other issues they hadn’t fixated on previously (like platform fees). These changes added considerable pressure to the trader.
It left them asking me, how do you gain consistency in trading? They asked me specifically “what got you over the hump to consistent profits in your trading?”
Here was my response…
Sounds like you have been through a ton, and I’m sure you’re drained emotionally as a result. Once the dust settles for you though, your self-honesty will serve you quite well as you get back on a track that’s right for you.
In terms of what I did to achieve consistency, I had been making money part-time before going full-time. When I made the switch from part-time to full-time, there was a period of about 2 months in between where I was assisting another experienced full-time trader by placing orders for him and helping manage his account. This was due to a very different style of trading (managing many positions simultaneously), and it was new software, so I needed to get accustomed to it. Once I was comfortable with it, I went live, and from my first day I was profitable.
A year or two later, I went through a tough stretch and got really frustrated. The way I responded actually led to my longest streak of consecutive profitable months, and it was all due to one single commitment: limit losses. By taking little paper cuts, I got out of bad trades with minor damage but kept finding winners along the way too (it’s a numbers game), and that just created a ton of consistency for me.
I think if you can simplify the effects of what’s taking place personally with you, then your trading will be calmer as well. Life goes on, and periodically it gets hectic in a way that’s not under our control, but if you detect that then just get more passive with your trading. When personal things are clear and you’re more focused on the market, you can get more aggressive with your trading. Becoming consistently profitable goes hand-in-hand with taking a long-haul approach for consistency over time.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Follow TheStockBandit on Twitter or get our free newsletter to keep up!
Trading Timeframe Influences Position Size
December 13, 2011 at 8:58 pm
Equally important to locating entries and exits is the matter of sizing your positions. Too much and you can’t stick with the trade plan, aborting in favor of diminishing emotions (whether greed or fear). Too little and you don’t maximize the use of your capital.
While some traders prefer a standard lot size, in this video I’ll discuss the notion that your timeframe for the trade should influence your position size.
Yes, the chart itself will help determine your exits, but that’s also a function of how long you’ll expect to be in the trade.
Check out the video for a quick 5-minute explanation and you’ll see exactly what I mean.
(Direct video link is here for those interested in sharing).
Be sure to view in HD (720P) and full-screen mode for best quality in the video.
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Follow TheStockBandit on Twitter or get our free newsletter to keep up!
A Trader’s 5-Step Recovery
December 7, 2011 at 9:03 am
re-cov-er-y (noun) – the regaining of something lost or taken away;Â restoration to a former or better condition;Â the extraction of useful substances from waste.
Traders have to go through recovery on almost an ongoing basis. Sometimes it’s from a paper-cut-sized hit to the account, while other times it involves coming back from an amputation of sorts – whether it be a major drawdown to actual or emotional capital.
Either way, without the ability to recover, you’re done. (Obvious alert: that’s no place to be).
There are steps to recovery which should be taken, and I want to discuss some of them. By no means is this an exhaustive list, so please add your own in the comments, but here are a few which I think are necessary on the (sometimes long) road back.
Admit it. Face up to what it is. Call it a slump, call it shattered confidence, call it a big scary market monster. Whatever “it” is, you have to get it on the table so you can deal with it.
Seek help. Maybe you shouldn’t go it alone. Without some accountability, it’s easy to relapse. Find a mentor or some coaching to get you back on track, and add some skills to your repertoire. The fact of the matter is that left to your own abilities as they currently stand, you may very well be facing a similar situation again.
Take inventory. Take an inventory of what’s left of your capital, both in terms of cash and confidence. It may be that you simply don’t have enough left to consider a comeback right away, so perhaps you incubate for awhile and prepare in other ways for your eventual return. Or perhaps you assess your situation and realize you have more than enough to start the process.
Get uncomfortably familiar with the cause. What was it that put you in need of recovery to begin with? Overconfidence? Lack of respect for the market? A series of small mistakes which compounded your problems? Understanding the root cause of your wounds, even if painful, will help you prevent it from happening again in the future. After all, you’ve already paid the tuition, you might as well get the lesson.
Get back in the saddle. The last step in the sequence is to return to trading and begin rebuilding. Start thinking about what that’s going to look like for you and how you’ll avoid the same pitfalls which got you this time around. Visualize yourself back in the routine again, making plays, staying disciplined, and having success.
** What are some steps you think are necessary to begin the healing process following a big trading loss?
Trade Like a Bandit!
Jeff White
Producer of The Bandit Broadcast
Follow TheStockBandit on Twitter or get our free newsletter to keep up!
